Russian forces are intensifying their efforts to cross the Dnipro River, aiming to secure a foothold on the west bank of the Kherson region. This strategic move comes as part of a broader attempt to justify their territorial claims over the entire Kherson region, which holds significant importance due to its location at the mouth of the country's main river.
The Kherson region, divided by the Dnipro River, has been a focal point since the early stages of the conflict. Initially captured by Russian forces, they were compelled to retreat from the west bank in November 2022. The city of Kherson, situated on this western side, remains under Ukrainian control, with only about 155,000 residents remaining from a pre-war population of approximately one million.
Russian attempts to cross the river in four locations have led to high-casualty missions. These efforts, often described as "suicidal," involve dispatching troops into hostile territory where they face immediate and severe resistance. The objective is to capture key villages across the river to bolster their claims in any future negotiations.
The Kherson region's predominantly agricultural character adds economic significance to its strategic value. Russian forces aim to "tick a box" and demonstrate their presence on the right bank to strengthen their bargaining position. This tactic is part of a wider strategy to secure land ahead of potential peace talks.
Constant drone and artillery attacks plague frontline regions, underscoring the ongoing hostilities. Governor Oleksandr Prokudin of Kherson highlighted the need for Russia to include the right bank in negotiation discussions, stating:
"They have to make the right [western] bank part of the negotiation." – Prokudin
Prokudin also mentioned the possibility of "a freezing of the conflict at the existing frontline," reflecting the complex and evolving nature of the situation.
In an international development, Governor Prokudin recently visited the United Kingdom to sign an economic partnership agreement with Lincolnshire council. Lincolnshire has a small Ukrainian community, having welcomed 1,000 refugees through the Homes for Ukraine scheme.