China’s export landscape is undergoing a dramatic transformation. The country is currently undergoing a severe economic crisis, including a marked drop in exports to the United States. In fact, during the first half of 2025, China experienced a record-setting 11% decrease in exports to the US from a year earlier. This dramatic decline underscores the complexity driving today’s global trade flows. Despite the current downturn, China has been very successful in diversifying its export markets. It has done so remarkably, especially in parts of Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa, Europe and Emerging Market Asia.
Exports to the US have also slumped, led by a drop in exports of smartphones and laptops. These two categories combined account for more than one-third of the entire decrease. In addition, the US market has experienced a sharp decline in demand for these products. At the same time, China’s exports of smartphones and laptops have surged in other, third-country markets. That strategic shift has uniquely positioned China to weather negative trade impacts from its biggest trading partner.
In recent years, China has been taking a regional approach to investing heavily into economies all around the global south. This intentional investment has developed strong trade partnerships and offered a platform for diversification of exports. According to Standard Chartered’s Research Analyst Ethan Lester, “China’s export partners have diversified in recent years, helping to offset the blow from higher US tariffs.” He further noted that “the US share of China’s 6M-2025 exports declined 2.5 percentage points year-over-year, but China’s overall exports increased, even after adjusting for reporting discrepancies with US authorities.”
China’s ongoing diversification strategy has proven beneficial. This is clear when looking at the country’s remarkable growth in the export of intermediate goods since the last orchestrated country-wide trade war. This relatively recent change is a tangible sign of a deeper shift in supply chains. It allows China to respond instantly to emerging markets’ needs and to reduce its current dependence on any one economy.
China’s total export growth skyrocketed in H1 2025. This increase happened even against the headwinds of protectionist barriers raised by the US and EU. As exciting as this growth is, experts warn that it’s not necessarily sustainable. “We see China’s export growth boost fading following significant tariff-related front-loading, amid protectionist rhetoric from EU officials regarding dumping, and US threats of higher tariffs on economies facilitating transshipment,” stated a source from FXStreet.
The booming exports of smartphones and laptops to newer markets like India show China’s capacity to turn on a dime. These products have seen a rapid uptake across markets like Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa, Europe and Emerging Market Asia. This diversification of export destinations further stresses China’s continuing resilience in the light of global trade tensions.
China’s export figures released last week reflect a catastrophic drop in sales to the United States. Though this represented a singular setback, cumulatively exports grew. Those trade patterns tell a story of pivoting to other non-tariff-hit markets and protectionist-enjoying countries. Cultivating China’s economic ecosystem China’s economy has prospered through a colorful mosaic of bilateral and multilateral international partnerships. It’s not totally dependent on one single market.
