At a recent conference, well-known investor Bessent shared his fears over the long-term economic damage from trade relations with China. The US-China trade deal is a big deal, he said, calling it one of the biggest milestones. That’s only part of the story, a rich and complicated narrative that continues to change and develop. Rare earth minerals vividly illustrate the explosive tensions in this bilateral relationship. They draw attention to the contradictory currents guiding the future of global trade.
Just as we’ve seen during this stock market’s decade-plus rally, an increasing number of onlookers are asking if the bull market has finally run out of gas. Panic and extreme greed index The panic and extreme greed index—calculated using seven various market indicators—offers a look into trader sentiment. Using this index, we generate a total score from 0–100. A value of 100 indicates the highest level of greed, and a value of 0 is the highest level of fear. As you may know, the S&P 500 is the index that serves as the benchmark for the overall US stock market. This performance is eagerly anticipated by investors.
Beyond sales and price Market analysts use multiple metrics to evaluate market activity and trends. One such metric is the 125-day moving average which is used to calculate the momentum of the market over a longer time frame. The ratio of stocks to bonds serves as a helpful proxy for safe haven demand. For one, it offers interesting context into what investors are looking for in distressed times. Second is the premium return of stocks over bonds, narrowed down into a 20-day rolling difference.
Thanks to recent data from the NYSE, we’ve got a real-time view of these latest net new 52-week highs and lows. These indicators are key for measuring stock price momentum. These metrics are key to understanding what markets are investing in and where confidence is happening. Our economy is in deep trouble, with rising gas prices and inflation spiking all over the place. Because of this, these indicators are growing more critical by the day.
Analysts all had one eye on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September. Their purpose was to predict what the future economic climate would be. The CPI is a key measure of inflation and has substantial impact on monetary policy decisions. Mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest point in 2025 so far, which means it’s a thrilling time for future homebuyers. This sharp decline is taking a big toll on the housing market.
The interaction between all of these different variables only shows how complicated today’s economic environment really is. Analysts insist that although the trade deal with China addressed some immediate fears, deeper tensions continue to exist. The rare earth minerals sector exemplifies the contentious nature of US-China relations, as both countries vie for dominance in this critical area.
Even with all these known challenges, the stock market rally seems so far resilient to all. Potential emergence of a new housing cycle Analysts remain gingerly hopeful of its sustaining, especially with the combination of positive mortgage rate developments and overall positive market signals. The CNN fear and greed index indicates a complete reversal of investor sentiment. Multiple indicators suggest we’re on the cusp of a much greater confidence in the market’s direction.