A U.S. delegation, led by President Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff, arrived in Moscow on Thursday for crucial talks aimed at negotiating a ceasefire in the ongoing Ukraine conflict. The discussions come after a joint proposal was presented by the U.S. and Ukraine, outlining a potential cessation of military activities. However, Russia's initial response to the ceasefire proposal was muted, with Kremlin officials requesting more details before committing to any agreement.
The proposed ceasefire deal, as outlined in a joint statement by the U.S. and Ukraine, suggests an initial 30-day cessation of hostilities, with the possibility of extension through mutual consent. In response to this proposal, the U.S. swiftly resumed its intelligence sharing and military aid to Ukraine, signaling its commitment to the peace process. Despite these efforts, Russia's willingness to engage with the ceasefire terms remains uncertain, as the country has previously expressed firm red lines against foreign military presence in Ukraine.
Yuri Ushakov, a Russian presidential aide, refrained from disclosing whether Russia would outright reject the proposed ceasefire deal. However, he highlighted that a temporary truce could provide Ukraine with an opportunity to reinforce its military capabilities. Meanwhile, Sam Greene, a Russia expert at the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), expressed skepticism about Russia's willingness to accept the proposal.
"With immediate Russian acquiescence to a ceasefire unlikely to be forthcoming, the White House's frustration may lead to renewed demands for Ukrainian concessions. Europe, then, must move quickly to help reduce Kyiv's dependence on Washington, with particular emphasis on intelligence and air defense, thus insulating Ukraine both from Russian attack and American inconsistency," said Sam Greene.
The atmosphere in Moscow reflects a degree of discontent over the proposed deal. A senior Russian official stated on Wednesday that any agreement would need to align with Moscow’s terms rather than those dictated by Washington. This sentiment underscores the ongoing challenges faced by negotiators in reaching a mutually acceptable peace agreement.
As part of his recent activities, Russian President Vladimir Putin visited the Kursk region, an area partially occupied by Ukrainian forces since an incursion last August. His presence there, dressed in army fatigues, further highlights the complexity of the situation and Russia's continued military involvement.
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio emphasized that the decision now lies with Russia following collaborative efforts by U.S. and Ukrainian officials earlier this week. The meeting between these parties has been perceived as a potential "breakthrough," according to Volodymyr Dubovyk, an academic and analyst at CEPA.
"The negotiators are flying in, indeed, contacts are scheduled," confirmed Dmitry Peskov.
Despite this diplomatic push, analysts remain cautious about Russia’s response. Andrius Tursa, Central and Eastern Europe advisor at Teneo, described the situation as a "ceasefire curveball" that both Ukraine and the U.S. are attempting to navigate. The skepticism is shared by others who doubt that Moscow will agree to or adhere to any ceasefire arrangement without ensuring its strategic interests are safeguarded.
"Let's not get ahead of ourselves, we'll tell you later. There have already been contacts," stated Dmitry Peskov.