The Israeli security cabinet convened Tuesday morning to deliberate the ongoing negotiations concerning the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire deal. This meeting follows a tumultuous week marked by escalating tensions and uncertainties surrounding the truce's future. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu threw his support behind former U.S. President Donald Trump's ominous warning of potential action in Gaza, further intensifying the already fragile situation. With 76 captives still held in the Gaza Strip, the ceasefire's progress hangs in the balance as both parties grapple with complex diplomatic negotiations.
The first phase of the ceasefire, set to last six weeks, involved the release of 16 hostages, including eight bodies. However, discussions for the second stage were delayed. Netanyahu only authorized talks addressing technical issues pertinent to the initial phase, causing a setback in the peace process. Former President Trump added to the uncertainty by cautioning that "hell is going to break out" in Gaza, casting doubt on subsequent stages of the truce.
“If they’re not here, all hell is going to break out,” – Donald Trump
Trump's remarks have potentially undermined the trust necessary for advancing the ceasefire agreement. A senior Hamas official, Sami Abu Zuhri, dismissed Trump's threats, asserting they only complicate matters.
“The language of threats has no value and only complicates matters.” – Sami Abu Zuhri
Trump clarified that the ultimate decision rests with Israel, emphasizing his independent stance.
“I’m speaking for myself. Israel can override it.” – Donald Trump
Israel possesses the authority to override U.S. guarantees for the ceasefire, adding another layer of complexity to the negotiations. The third phase of the agreement is designed to address the exchange of deceased hostages and Hamas members, alongside a reconstruction plan for Gaza. However, Hamas now questions Washington's ability to uphold its commitments and doubts Israel's dedication to implementing the plan.
The next exchange of Israeli hostages for Palestinian prisoners and detainees was slated for Saturday, marking the sixth such exchange under the six-week-long first phase of the ceasefire agreement. Nevertheless, accusations from Hamas against Israel for breaching the ceasefire threaten this timeline. Hamas claims that Israel has delayed Palestinian returns to northern Gaza, obstructed aid deliveries, and attacked civilians, further straining relations.
In response to these allegations and potential escalations, the Israeli military has canceled all leave for soldiers stationed in the Gaza division, preparing for a range of scenarios. Meanwhile, protests erupted in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, with demonstrators demanding the return of all hostages and accusing the government of undermining the ceasefire deal.
Prime Minister Netanyahu's endorsement of Trump's rhetoric signals a readiness to resume military operations if negotiations falter.
“The military will return to intense fighting until Hamas is finally defeated,” – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
As tensions rise, international observers express concern over the potential collapse of peace efforts in Gaza. The recent developments have left analysts questioning whether there is sufficient political will on both sides to navigate these diplomatic challenges.
Hamas has expressed skepticism regarding Israel's sincerity in upholding its end of the bargain. The organization no longer trusts Washington's assurances and perceives Israeli actions as indicative of a lack of commitment to peace efforts. This loss of confidence poses a significant hurdle to advancing talks and achieving a lasting resolution.